아프리카ㆍ중동
연구정보
[농업경제] Spatial Spillovers of Conflict in Somalia
아프리카ㆍ 중동 기타 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - IZA 발간일 : 2022-11-21 등록일 : 2022-12-31 원문링크
Due to economic interconnectedness across regions, locally confined violent conflict may have welfare effects far beyond directly affected areas. This paper focuses on Somalia's al-Shabaab insurgency and investigates whether the food transportation network propagates the effects of violent conflict to distant locations. Combining granular geospatial information on agricultural areas, roads, and itineraries, we show that conflict along transportation routes significantly increases food prices at markets located hundreds of kilometers away. Standardized estimates amount to up to half the magnitude of the effect of rainfall. Negative effects of conflict on road traffic as measured by satellite images of light emissions point towards decreases in food transportation. Moreover, conflict decreases food security, nutrition, health, and education for households living in far-away market areas. This suggests that food prices act as a propagating mechanism that links – among others – human capital to far-away conflict. Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that spatial spillovers add an additional 30% to the welfare cost of local conflict.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [경제] Economic Development in Africa Report 2022 | 2022-12-08 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [경제] Assessing Banking Sector Vulnerabilities in the Gulf Cooperation Council in... | 2023-01-29 |
