아프리카ㆍ중동
연구정보
[경제] Reaping Africa’s demographic dividend
아프리카ㆍ 중동 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - EUROPA 발간일 : 2022-01-05 등록일 : 2022-01-13 원문링크
This second Brief in the Imagine Africa series analyses Africa’s biggest resource: its youth. Declining mortality, high and slowly declining fertility, and the youthful age structure are driving Africa’s rapid population growth. Africa’s working-age population (aged between 15–64) was estimated to be 750 million in 2019 and is forecast to exceed 1 billion before 2030 and to reach 1.1 billion by 2035, with young Africans (aged between 15–24) entering the labour force at a rate of about 20 million each year. The boom in Africa’s young population could result in either a demographic dividend or a demographic time-bomb. The Brief explores both of these scenarios. Based on trends in fertility, education, job creation, climate risks and economic growth, a business-as-usual scenario argues that Africa will miss the demographic dividend in 2030, if current trends continue. A more optimistic scenario shows instead how the dividend can be achieved as a result of effective policy actions to address the frontline issues of population growth, education and climate risks.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [정치] Postwar development of civil society in Iraq’s mid-Euphrates region | 2022-01-13 |
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| 다음글 | [경제] Arab youth futures | 2022-01-13 |
