연구정보
[환경] Climate Change in Bangladesh: Exploring the Past and Potential Future Impacts
방글라데시 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - CDP 발간일 : 2022-07-21 등록일 : 2023-06-24 원문링크
Climate change is one of the most critical issues for Bangladesh at present. The damaging impacts of climate change on different sectors of Bangladesh are interrelated and have manifold implications. This paper utilises expectation maximisation algorithms and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict the state of climate change indicators for Bangladesh in the near future. Findings from the forecasts show that in the business-as-usual scenario, annual average temperatures will increase by 0.95 per cent year-on-year, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will increase 5.17 per cent year-on-year, and a total of 30,366,230 households will be affected by climate change in Bangladesh in 2030. Therefore, anthropogenic climate change is increasing the probability of natural disasters leading to grave consequences for Bangladesh. Hence, the gulf between the rhetoric and reality of climate change needs to be narrowed down urgently. In view of these, a number of policy measures are recommended to tackle the risks of climate change in Bangladesh.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [정책] Climate resilience planning in mountainous regions in Nepal | 2022-12-08 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [정책] Role of National Trade Policies in Mitigating Climate Challenge: An Overvie... | 2023-07-29 |
